The newly published report of the National Defense Strategy Commission, which was presented to the US Congress on Monday, was certainly not pleasing for the recipients. Now the US wants to mobilize all its forces to defeat everyone. Should China and Russia shudder?
The National Defense Strategy Board of the US Congress has published its report on the state of the country's armed forces, and it was a sad report. The opening lines explicitly state that the United States "cannot stand alone against either Russia or China and cannot win a war against them."
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This is of course unpleasant news for Americanophiles, because they have grown up with the myth of a world hegemon who arrives by helicopter, occupies any country in the blink of an eye and pushes the local "authoritarians" against the wall. Now it turns out that he's not going to do that.
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The commissioners, which include representatives from intelligence, intelligence agencies, diplomacy and a retired general known for his extraordinary skills on the front lines, openly write that the US lags far behind Russia and China militarily and that this gap is widening every year:
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"The U.S. military has neither the capability nor the capacity ... to hold (the enemy) at bay or win the battle."
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It is painfully recognized that for the first time in decades, the shining castle is facing equal opponents. For this reason, the strategic concept urgently needs to be changed. What has become of the previous one?
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Despite all the whining about "defending democracy", the real US military concept since the collapse of the USSR has been the Wolfowitz Doctrine, which we wrote about some time ago. This cannibalistic theory instructs Washington to militarily crush any country that dares to develop faster than the US itself.
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This concept has been followed like a sheet of music. Iraq is doing well? Invade Iraq and hang its leader.
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Is the huge, multinational Yugoslavia doing well? Bomb Yugoslavia. Libya is on the upswing and becomes the most successful country in Africa? Bang - and "we look back and see only ruins".
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An important clarification: all these prosperous, successful countries were militarily weak. The American army destroyed them without fear of retribution.
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At the same time, governments and elites that were not loyal enough to American hegemony were wiped out, and the rest of the vassals were taught a cruel lesson: If you so much as think of flinching, the same will happen to you.
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But while the Americans were celebrating successes with obviously weak opponents in this way, China, Russia, Iran and North Korea were quietly and modestly expanding their military and economic power. According to the old concept, they should have been "bombed into the Stone Age" back in the 1990s.
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But the inevitable happened. The Wolfowitz Doctrine, which was developed in the era of unconditional prosperity in the United States and presupposed the absence of equal opponents, no longer works.
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For a time, there was the "doctrine of two wars", which held that the United States could fight two conflicts simultaneously. However, Ukraine and the Middle East have shown that it can no longer do that either.
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Ukrainian forces are in ignominious retreat, and in the Middle East, pro-Iranian groups and local guerrillas are on the rampage, exiling American soldiers to their military base and attacking U.S. warships.
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The National Defense Strategy Board is proposing a new concept of total war to the Americans - "the use of force in many theaters of war".
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This means a prolonged military confrontation with enemies such as Russia and China on the ground, in the air, in space, in cyberspace and in public space.
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These wars will also be geographically far-reaching, as Russia and China have allies in different regions of the world. And on all fronts, Americans must be prepared to "fight off the threat".
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Overdue measures proposed include: reindustrializing the US, urgently expanding the defense industry and rapidly introducing innovations, supporting the private sector in the defense industry, practicing cooperation between the various branches of the armed forces, expanding military recruitment, and even mobilizing citizens.
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There are many plans, but where will the money come from to implement them? The authors of the report note that "the American public has no idea what they would face in the event of war - power outages, water shortages, food shortages, shortages of all the usual goods and services, and the price to pay for preparing for that war".
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In the USA, films and series about the nuclear post-apocalypse are often made, but it is significant that the survivors there live in astonishing comfort - the electricity works, there is plenty of food, you can always get ice from the fridge, pour it into a glass of expensive whiskey, stand thoughtfully at an intact window and admire the sunset over the ruins of New York. This has nothing to do with real life.
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The commission suggests Americans go back to the Cold War era, when the US military budget accounted for 16.9 percent of GDP (by 2025, it will be about three percent).
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Back then, taxes on profits in the US rose to as much as 70 percent and taxes on corporate profits to as much as 50 percent. So today, taxes have to be raised and spending on "defense" increased many times over.
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By and large, we are dealing here with a detailed strategy for mobilizing American society, with "belt-tightening" and "guns not butter".
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This is an open preparation for an all-out world war, and the enemies of the United States are also openly named. There are serious doubts as to whether the US economy
can cope with the reforms demanded by the Commission. The ballooning national debt, inflation, the skyrocketing number of poor people (it has almost doubled since 2021) -these are all real problems.
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Today, Russia and China are taking over the US economy and this is a very important theater of war. In Russia, there are no more families who don't have enough money to eat. In the United States, there are millions of such families. Are they willing to spend even more to fund their military? Or will military-industrial production provide them with jobs and boost the economy, as it did during World War II?
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The experience of previous American interventions has shown that they were terribly unprofitable for the country. Either one or two trillion dollars were sunk into the sands of Afghanistan.
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Stoking the conflict in Taiwan resulted in losses of five trillion dollars. Investments in Ukraine have also proved unprofitable. All this money is being taken out of the pockets of ordinary American taxpayers and earning them nothing. Wars are no longer profitable.
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In any case, the new US military strategy is a serious challenge that should not be taken lightly. Russia and China have every opportunity to formulate a worthy response. And also ways to deliver this response to the addressee.
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